Buffett's main source of information for valuing any stock
is available to all of us FREE of cost. It is the Annual report of publicly
traded companies.
Analyzing an annual report can be a very tedious task. The
process of analyzing an annual report can be simplified if you have a ready
checklist. This blog post gives a checklist of 25 items. As you go through the
report you can keep filling the checklist. Thus by the end , you will have
answers to all the checklist points that are applicable to the business.Based
on the answers from the checklist , you can list down the factors affecting the
earnings and in turn develop the earnings model.Which in turn can help you
value the business.
1. How does
the business make money – This is basically a 60,000 feet view of the business
and should be explained in a short paragraph (not more than 5 lines).
2. Overview
of basic Financials for past 10 years : Cash flow , Income statements , balance
sheet and stockholder’s equity encompass the basic financials of every company.
One needs to have a basic overview as to how these have progressed over last 10
years. For many new companies the data might not be available for last 10
years. In this case whatever historical data is available needs to be
considered.
3. Segment
Information : Most Companies have more
than 1 reportable business segment. Many a times their results are not
co-related. Hence one should try to analyze each segment separately .
4. What are
the Factors that are currently impacting the business ?: One can find this
information in the Management Discussion and Analysis section of the annual
report.
5. Growth
model , Capital expenditures and acquisitions.
6. The MOAT
: What is the MOAT that the business has that gives it an edge over its
competitors.
7. Getting
to know the Golden “C” triangle :
(i)
Customers: Profile of the customers – individual, institutional, govt.
(ii) Cost
structure: Fixed costs vs varying costs.
(iii)
Competitors: What’s the market share of the company’s product with respect to
its competitors?
8. The
selling process – How does the company sell its products? Directly to its
customers or through some third party.
9. Pricing
power: Does the company have pricing power. In other words can it increase the
unit price of its products without impacting its volumes.
10. R&D
expense details.
11.How much
leveraged is the business.
12. What’s
the impact of govt regulations in the business and what’s the risk involved
here.
13. Is the
business dependent on any government grants or subsidies?
14. Is it a
Commodity business? If yes then what’s the volatility in the commodity prices.
15. Are
there any long term contracts involved while selling the product ?
16. CASH
cycle of the business.
17. What’s
the risk involved with any quality issues? Auto industry is one of the great
examples of this point where there are many recalls because of which large
expenses are involved.
18. How
easily are the products replaceable by other types of products? Newspaper
industry is a great example of this point where the need of the product itself
is shrinking and is being replaced by e-commerce.
19. What’s
the spread of business between international and USA operations and the impact
of foreign currency on earnings?
20. Is the
workforce of the company Unionized? If yes then what’s been the impact to the
business.
21. Is the
business dependent on any proprietary technology?
22. How is
the Tax structure of the company?
23. Does
the balance sheet have large amounts of Goodwill and intangible assets.
24. Details
of any legal issues company is facing.
25. Pension
obligations.
26. Management stability – How often has the senior leadership and the board structure
changed for the company in the past five years.
27.
Intricacies of the Financial statements and foot notes – Here one needs to jot
down any intricate concepts used in the Financial statements and foot notes
that are hard to understand. These especially relate to Accounting methods
followed by the company.
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If you want to subscribe to this blog or have any comments then please Email me : Safemultiple at gmail dot com